Key Takeaways
- Spain and Argentina are the finalists of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Spain is the favourite to win the final against Argentina, according to Opta.
- The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final will be played on 19 July 2026 (or 20 July 2026 in Singapore).
And then there were two.
After 103 games, the 2026 FIFA World Cup final is officially set. Spain and Argentina will face off in the final on 19 July 2026 (20 July in Singapore) at MetLife Stadium, New Jersey.
Ahead of the mouthwatering tie, Opta Supercomputer has revealed which team is most likely to lift the trophy.
FIFA World Cup 2026 Predictions by the Opta Supercomputer
The Opta Supercomputer model estimates the likelihood of each team’s chances of finishing in every possible position. By combining betting odds with the Opta Power Rankings (which take into account both historical results and recent performances), Opta calculates the probability of each match outcome (win, lose, or draw) while factoring in the strength of each opponent.
The model also simulates the remaining fixtures in the competition 25,000 times to produce a range of likely outcomes.
Below are Opta’s latest predictions for the Spain vs Argentina final:
| Country | Final | Winner |
| Spain | 100.00% | 56.31% |
| Argentina | 100.00% | 43.69% |
Who Are the Favourites to Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ahead of the final, Spain are favourites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with Opta giving La Roja a 56.31% chance. Spain have only conceded one goal in the entire tournament, and comprehensively defeated tournament favourites France 2-0 in their semi-final clash.
Meanwhile, defending champions Argentina head into the final as the underdogs, with Opta assigning a 43.69% chance of retaining their title. Led by their captain, Lionel Messi, La Albiceleste have shown remarkable resilience throughout the tournament, including their 2-1 comeback victory over England in the semi-finals.
England and France will battle for third place, with the kickoff on Saturday, 18 July (19 July in Singapore).
However, football is notoriously unpredictable, and this tournament has already delivered so many iconic moments, such as:
- Turkey, one of the dark horses of the tournament, crashed out prematurely in the group stage.
- Germany crashed out dramatically on penalties to Paraguay.
- Morocco eliminated the Netherlands, one of Opta’s top six favourites to win the tournament, also on penalties.
- Tournament debutants Cabo Verde’s impressive performances throughout the tournament.
- Norway stunned Brazil to reach the quarter-finals.
So while prediction models like Opta might indicate each team’s chances, they don’t decide the outcome. As shown so far, there have been plenty of surprises, which is exactly what makes the FIFA World Cup so compelling.
Remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 Matches
| Match | Time |
| France vs England | 19 July, 5:00 AM |
| Spain vs Argentina | 20 July, 3:00 AM |
You can catch both matches via the following channels:
- MeWatch (stream for free)
- Channel 5
- Singtel TV and Starhub
You can also catch public live screenings at CHIJMES, Lau Pa Sat, ActiveSG Sports Centres, or Community Clubs.
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